The Belmont Stakes odds are now off and running, with the Belmont Stakes odds predictably in favor of one horse so far. Mine That Bird was expected to be favored in the Belmont Stakes odds ever since Rachel Alexandra dropped out. As such, the Belmont Stakes odds are pretty much all in favor of Mine That Bird, with Calvin Borel back in his saddle. So for the first time in the Triple Crown, Mine That Bird will be the big favorite in the odds – which means he can’t play the underdog card in the Belmont Stakes.
The early Belmont Stakes odds have Mine That Bird at 2-1, at the number 7 post position. Mine That Bird will likely be the morning line favorite on race day, and predicted to win his second Triple Crown leg – with Borel taking the jockey version of the Triple Crown.
Mine That Birds becomes the favorite in the Belmont Stakes odds, after getting this far by defying the odds. He won as a 50-1 longshot in Kentucky, and was only the second favorite to Rachel Alexandra, despite winning the Derby.
In that case, the odds were correct, but if the Preakness Stakes were a little longer, Mine That Bird could have caught Rachael Alexandra to win. The Belmont Stakes will not have that trouble, making Mine That Bird a bigger favorite in the odds.
Though Mine That Bird tops the Belmont Stakes odds, he is not alone. In the past two Triple Crown races, the odds had a select few favorites among a huge supply of underdogs. For the Belmont Stakes, the field is a little more balanced, according to the odds.
Out of the ten Belmont Stakes horses, none is more than a 20-1 longshot – which is in clear contrast to the multitudes of 30, 40 and 50-1 longshots that ran in the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness.
Right up against Mine That Bird is 3-1 second choice Charitable Man, a newcomer to this year’s Triple Crown. Dunkirk, a favorite at the Kentucky Derby, is back at 4-1 odds in the second post position. Chocolate Candy is 10-1, with the rest of the field either at 12-1, 15-1 or 20-1.
Given the nature of the Triple Crown this year, the Belmont Stakes odds are only meant to be defied. With Mine That Bird now the undisputed favorite for the first time, and with the bullseye on Borel’s back as he tries to be the first Triple Crown jockey in 30 years, the betting action stands to be tight right up until post time.
The 141’st Belmont Stakes will prove the odds to be right or wrong this Saturday afternoon on ABC.
Philadelphia Daily News- “141’st Belmont Stakes: The draw” www.philly.com/philly/hp/sports/20090604_141st_Belmont_Stakes__The_draw.html