Fantasy baseball scouting report on Texas Rangers prospect Derek Holland. Includes player profile, minor league updates, fantasy baseball outlook, keeper league incentives, 2009 expectations, and stat projections.
Player Profile – Derek Holland:
Born: October 9, 1986
Draft: 2006 – 25th Round Texas Rangers
Position: Starting Pitcher
Minor League Profile:
After being drafted in the 25th round by the Texas Rangers in the 2006 draft, Derek Holland has been an outstanding late round sleeper pick for the Rangers. Following his 14 starts and 67 innings pitched during the 2007 season at Single-A Spokane, Holland earned a late season call-up during the 2008 season to Double-A Frisco, where he went on to pitch in 4 games while posting 3 wins, 29 strikeouts, and a 0.69 ERA over 26 innings pitched. With a limited but very successful minor league career, Derek Holland has positioned himself to become a solid #2 starting pitcher in the Texas Rangers starting rotation for several years.
Fantasy Baseball Outlook:
Having been considered to begin the 2009 season on the Texas Rangers opening day roster, the Rangers ultimately decided to send Derek Holland down to Triple-A Oklahoma for the start of the 2009 season. However just two weeks into the 2009 season, Holland earned the call-up when the Rangers needed to bolster their bullpen. At age 22 for the 2009 season, Derek Holland has the age and experience to be able to contribute at the major league level in 2009.
As far as being a top fantasy baseball starting pitching prospect, Derek Holland has been on a steady rise after being drafted in the 25th round in the 2006 draft. Armed with flawless mechanics and an increased velocity now in the mid 90’s, Derek Holland is worthy of being ranked as a top 20 starting pitcher prospect entering the 2009 season. Derek Holland’s overall future and long term fantasy baseball potential is a bit lower than fellow Rangers prospect Neftali Feliz, but with Holland already earning a roster spot in the majors to begin the 2009 season, there is little doubt that Holland will be a better fantasy baseball prospect than Feliz during the 2009 season. Derek Holland should provide a solid bullpen option for the Rangers, and when he eventually gets a chance to start, he could easily end the 2009 season with 110 innings pitched, 5 wins, 80 strikeouts and a 3.80 ERA.
Keeper League Incentive:
In fantasy baseball keeper leagues, Derek Holland is worthy of being ranked as a top 20 starting pitcher prospect entering the 2009 season. Holland projects to be a quality #2 or #3 starting pitcher at the major league level, and he should easily become a solid #3 starting pitcher in mixed 12 team fantasy baseball leagues during the prime of his career. Throughout his minor league career, Derek Holland has shown an ability to tally above average strikeout numbers, including posting 240 strikeouts over 217 innings pitched between Single-A and Double-A during the 2007 and 2008 seasons. In keeper leagues, Derek Holland has the potential to enter the 2010 season as a top 80 overall starting pitcher, with the potential to become a top 50 overall starting pitcher for the 2011 season. During his prime, Derek Holland could post numbers resembling 15 wins, 170 strikeouts, 3.60 ERA, and a 1.20 WHIP.
With an April call-up already in the books for Derek Holland to begin the 2009 season, it would not at all be surprising to see Holland eventually claim a starting spot in the Texas Rangers pitching rotation sometime around mid-season. With the Rangers seemingly always searching and in need of quality starting pitching, it only seems obvious that Derek Holland will be given an opportunity to start for the Rangers during the 2009 season.
Overall, the fantasy baseball outlook for Derek Holland in 2009 as a bullpen pitcher with the potential to move into the starting rotation permanently, could include 110 innings pitched, 5 wins, 80 strikeouts and an ERA around 3.80.
2009 Stat Projections:
On the low end: 80 innings pitched, 3 wins, 40 strikeouts, 4.25 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
On the high end: 130 innings pitched, 6 wins, 100 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA, 1.20 WHIP